
The IMO’s Marine Environment Protection Committee is meeting in London for its 84th session from 27 April to 1 May 2026. The final IMO press release and plenary confirmation are still awaited at the time of writing. This note is therefore based on working group documents available from within the session, particularly MEPC 84/WP.5, WP.6, WP.7 and WP.8, dated 27–30 April 2026. IMO’s official preview confirms that MEPC 84 is considering key implementation work on greenhouse gas reduction, marine fuel lifecycle guidelines, biofuels, and the proposed North-East Atlantic Emission Control Area.
For India, the message is clear: the regulatory case for green hydrogen-derived marine fuels is becoming stronger. Even while the IMO Net-Zero Framework remains politically contested, the direction of travel is unmistakable. Shipowners serving India–Europe routes will face a growing stack of compliance obligations under EU ETS, FuelEU Maritime, tighter IMO fuel certification rules, and potentially a new North-East Atlantic Emission Control Area.
1. North-East Atlantic ECA: A new compliance layer on the India–Europe route
One of the most important developments at MEPC 84 is the expected adoption of the North-East Atlantic Emission Control Area, covering waters off Greenland, Iceland, the Faroe Islands, Ireland, the United Kingdom, France, Spain and Portugal.
The proposed ECA would regulate nitrogen oxides, sulphur oxides and particulate matter under MARPOL Annex VI. IMO had already indicated that the North-East Atlantic ECA proposal was approved at MEPC 83 and expected to be adopted at MEPC 84.
For GH2 India members, this matters because most India–Rotterdam and India–North Europe maritime routes pass through or near these waters. If formally adopted, conventional fuel vessels on this corridor will face an additional air-pollution compliance layer, alongside existing EU climate regulations.
This strengthens the commercial case for low- and zero-carbon fuels such as green ammonia and green methanol. These fuels can reduce exposure to sulphur-related compliance costs and, depending on engine technology and after-treatment systems, reduce regulated air-pollution intensity.
" India–Europe green shipping corridor is no longer only a climate opportunity. It is becoming a compliance-driven commercial opportunity with the proposed ECA."
2. No energy multiplier for ZNZ fuels: A better outcome for India
The working group documents indicate that an energy multiplier for zero or near-zero greenhouse gas emission fuels was not included in the GFI calculation guidelines.
A multiplier would have rewarded the volume of qualifying fuel used. That could have favoured fuels already available at commercial scale, regardless of their true lifecycle abatement value. Instead, the reward mechanism is expected to focus on verified emissions reduction.
That matters because Indian green hydrogen derivatives can be highly competitive on a lifecycle basis if renewable electricity sourcing, certification, and production emissions are properly documented. IMO’s public material on the Net-Zero Framework states that zero or near-zero fuels would generally need to meet a lifecycle threshold of 19.0 gCO₂eq/MJ or lower, representing an 80% reduction against the current average fuel intensity of 93.3 gCO₂eq/MJ.
" Indian green ammonia/methanol sit at 4–15 gCO₂eq/MJ - therefore strong assessments and verification of life-cycle emissions would provide a better opportunity for fuel producers in the sub-continent. A clear certification architecture would allow Indian producers to demonstrate their true lifecycle advantage. "
3. Biofuel certification is tightening from 2027
The working group has also advanced revised interim guidance on biofuels under MARPOL Annex VI, with an expected application date of 1 January 2027. The core principle is important: biofuel blends that cannot prove the sustainability of the biogenic component should not receive greenhouse gas credit. In practical terms, uncertified biofuel blends may be treated like equivalent fossil fuels for IMO accounting purposes.
This has direct implications for the shipping fuel market. Biofuels are often presented as a near-term compliance option because they can be blended into existing fuel systems. But sustainable biofuel supply is limited, and shipping will be competing with aviation, road transport and other sectors for the same certified feedstock pool. Green hydrogen derivatives do not face the same feedstock ceiling. For India, this reinforces the long-term strategic value of green ammonia and green methanol as scalable maritime fuel options.
" Biofuels may play a bridging role, but they are unlikely to be the scalable foundation of global maritime decarbonisation."
4. Sustainable Fuel Certification Scheme: The most urgent issue for India
The most important issue for Indian producers is not only the headline IMO Net-Zero Framework. It is the Sustainable Fuel Certification Scheme, which will determine which fuels can qualify for IMO rewards and surplus units.
The working group has advanced text on governance, recognition of certification schemes, application procedures and reporting structures. However, one critical question remains unresolved: chain of custody.
Many Indian green hydrogen and green ammonia projects are expected to rely on grid-connected renewable electricity, backed by PPAs and certification systems. This model depends on recognition of mass balance or equivalent certification approaches, rather than requiring physical tracing of each electron from renewable generation to electrolyser.
This is broadly aligned with the way renewable fuels of non-biological origin are treated in other major regulatory systems, including the EU framework. But if the IMO were to require strict physical segregation instead, it could create a major certification barrier for Indian producers. This is the highest-priority policy issue for India ahead of the expert workshop before ISWG-GHG 22.
"India must ensure that IMO certification recognises credible mass balance and PPA-backed renewable electricity models. Without this, Indian green fuel exports could face unnecessary barriers."
5. The Net-Zero Framework remains politically contested
MEPC 84 is not the final adoption moment for the IMO Net-Zero Framework. The formal adoption decision is expected when the extraordinary MEPC session reconvenes later in 2026, after the October 2025 extraordinary session was adjourned without adoption.
Political divisions remain, particularly among some hydrocarbon-exporting states. The debate continues around the greenhouse gas fuel intensity trajectory, penalty-and-reward mechanism, and treatment of different fuel pathways.
The India–Europe corridor does not depend only on IMO Net-Zero Framework adoption.
Several market-shaping measures are already moving independently:
EU ETS is already pricing shipping emissions. FuelEU Maritime is already creating a fuel-intensity compliance requirement for ships calling at EU ports. The proposed North-East Atlantic ECA would add another regional compliance layer. Biofuel sustainability rules are tightening. And fuel certification requirements are becoming more stringent.
Together, these developments make green ammonia and green methanol more commercially relevant for India–Europe shipping.
For Indian industry, the next phase is not only about tracking IMO negotiations. It is about shaping the certification rules that will determine market access.
The immediate priorities are:
- Recognition of mass balance certification for renewable electricity used in green hydrogen and derivative fuel production.
- Alignment with credible PPA-backed renewable procurement models, so grid-connected Indian projects are not disadvantaged.
- Clear lifecycle accounting rules that reward actual carbon abatement rather than artificial multipliers.
- Positioning India–Europe shipping corridors as early demand centres for Indian green ammonia and methanol.
- Coordinated engagement with Indian authorities, including DG Shipping, MNRE, MoPSW, MEA and relevant trade bodies, before the next IMO expert discussions.
MEPC 84 confirms that the maritime fuel market is moving from ambition to rulemaking. For countries that can produce at scale what would matter most is how these fuels are being certified, traded and recognised under international compliance systems.
For India, this is both an opportunity and a warning.
India has the renewable energy base, project pipeline and export ambition to become a major supplier of green ammonia and green methanol for international shipping. Any misalignment with global consensus on compliance could affect long term and sustainable markets for the country.
India must engage early and decisively on the IMO Sustainable Fuel Certification Scheme, especially on chain of custody and mass balance recognition - ensuring that national interests and strong global sustainability criteria is met.










